Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C in London on 16 August following the current heatwave peak, with fresher northwesterly flow and clearing skies expected to promote overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs near 26°C. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact overnight lows, supporting the market’s tight clustering between 16–18°C. Historical August minima average near 13–14°C, yet the post-heatwave transition and light winds favor values slightly above the long-term norm. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 16 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 16 de agosto?
17°C 45%
18°C 31%
16°C 16%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
14°C o menos
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
45%
18°C
31%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
17°C 45%
18°C 31%
16°C 16%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
14°C o menos
$52 Vol.
2%
15°C
$224 Vol.
5%
16°C
$264 Vol.
16%
17°C
$1,293 Vol.
45%
18°C
$696 Vol.
31%
19°C
$404 Vol.
10%
20°C
$25 Vol.
2%
21°C
$25 Vol.
1%
22°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C in London on 16 August following the current heatwave peak, with fresher northwesterly flow and clearing skies expected to promote overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs near 26°C. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact overnight lows, supporting the market’s tight clustering between 16–18°C. Historical August minima average near 13–14°C, yet the post-heatwave transition and light winds favor values slightly above the long-term norm. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volumen
$3,080Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C in London on 16 August following the current heatwave peak, with fresher northwesterly flow and clearing skies expected to promote overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs near 26°C. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact overnight lows, supporting the market’s tight clustering between 16–18°C. Historical August minima average near 13–14°C, yet the post-heatwave transition and light winds favor values slightly above the long-term norm. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,080Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C in London on 16 August following the current heatwave peak, with fresher northwesterly flow and clearing skies expected to promote overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs near 26°C. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact overnight lows, supporting the market’s tight clustering between 16–18°C. Historical August minima average near 13–14°C, yet the post-heatwave transition and light winds favor values slightly above the long-term norm. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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