Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight 32–34°C as the most probable range for Qingdao’s peak temperature on August 16, driven by lingering warm air advection over the Yellow Sea coast following early-August heat across Shandong. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below inland values, while variable cloud cover and a weakening subtropical ridge introduce uncertainty in peak heating. Current short-range guidance shows highs near 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies, yet model consensus supports a modest uptick that aligns with market-implied odds favoring 33°C. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected tomorrow will refine land-sea thermal contrasts and any late-day convection that could alter the daily high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 16 de agosto?
33°C 40%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
25%
33°C
40%
34°C
19%
35°C
5%
36°C o más
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
26°C o menos
$117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$184 Vol.
1%
29°C
$336 Vol.
1%
30°C
$242 Vol.
4%
31°C
$185 Vol.
10%
32°C
$272 Vol.
25%
33°C
$2,255 Vol.
40%
34°C
$418 Vol.
19%
35°C
$106 Vol.
5%
36°C o más
$95 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight 32–34°C as the most probable range for Qingdao’s peak temperature on August 16, driven by lingering warm air advection over the Yellow Sea coast following early-August heat across Shandong. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below inland values, while variable cloud cover and a weakening subtropical ridge introduce uncertainty in peak heating. Current short-range guidance shows highs near 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies, yet model consensus supports a modest uptick that aligns with market-implied odds favoring 33°C. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected tomorrow will refine land-sea thermal contrasts and any late-day convection that could alter the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$4,282Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight 32–34°C as the most probable range for Qingdao’s peak temperature on August 16, driven by lingering warm air advection over the Yellow Sea coast following early-August heat across Shandong. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below inland values, while variable cloud cover and a weakening subtropical ridge introduce uncertainty in peak heating. Current short-range guidance shows highs near 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies, yet model consensus supports a modest uptick that aligns with market-implied odds favoring 33°C. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected tomorrow will refine land-sea thermal contrasts and any late-day convection that could alter the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,282Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight 32–34°C as the most probable range for Qingdao’s peak temperature on August 16, driven by lingering warm air advection over the Yellow Sea coast following early-August heat across Shandong. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below inland values, while variable cloud cover and a weakening subtropical ridge introduce uncertainty in peak heating. Current short-range guidance shows highs near 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies, yet model consensus supports a modest uptick that aligns with market-implied odds favoring 33°C. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected tomorrow will refine land-sea thermal contrasts and any late-day convection that could alter the daily high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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