Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 27°C for London on August 15 under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds, following a 34°C peak the previous day. This positions 27°C as the modal outcome, with 26°C and 28°C close behind, reflecting typical uncertainty ranges in high-resolution numerical weather prediction. A ridge of high pressure has maintained stable conditions with minimal cloud cover, maximizing solar insolation while the post-heatwave advection of cooler maritime air limits further warming. Historical August baselines (roughly 21–22°C) make this well above average, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 26–28°C aligns with ensemble spread rather than outlier scenarios. Traders are closely monitoring the next model runs and real-time observations for any late adjustments to the maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 15 de agosto?
27°C 49%
28°C 26%
26°C 21%
25°C 7%
$70,466 Vol.
$70,466 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
21%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 26%
26°C 21%
25°C 7%
$70,466 Vol.
$70,466 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
21%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 27°C for London on August 15 under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds, following a 34°C peak the previous day. This positions 27°C as the modal outcome, with 26°C and 28°C close behind, reflecting typical uncertainty ranges in high-resolution numerical weather prediction. A ridge of high pressure has maintained stable conditions with minimal cloud cover, maximizing solar insolation while the post-heatwave advection of cooler maritime air limits further warming. Historical August baselines (roughly 21–22°C) make this well above average, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 26–28°C aligns with ensemble spread rather than outlier scenarios. Traders are closely monitoring the next model runs and real-time observations for any late adjustments to the maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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