Recent forecast guidance from European models and agencies such as Météo-France shows a shift to cooler, moister Atlantic air over northern France by August 15, with increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected to cap daytime heating. This follows several days of 36–39 °C readings earlier in the week under high pressure. Current ensemble guidance clusters Paris maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C, with limited upside risk above 34 °C due to the timing of the frontal passage and associated precipitation. These conditions align closely with the market’s concentration of probability around 32–34 °C, reflecting traders’ incorporation of the latest short-range model runs and observed cooling trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 15 de agosto?
33°C 45%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
31°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
24%
33°C
45%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
31°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
$627 Vol.
2%
31°C
$982 Vol.
7%
32°C
$850 Vol.
24%
33°C
$1,545 Vol.
45%
34°C
$762 Vol.
23%
35°C
$390 Vol.
6%
36°C
$578 Vol.
1%
37°C
$385 Vol.
1%
38°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models and agencies such as Météo-France shows a shift to cooler, moister Atlantic air over northern France by August 15, with increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected to cap daytime heating. This follows several days of 36–39 °C readings earlier in the week under high pressure. Current ensemble guidance clusters Paris maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C, with limited upside risk above 34 °C due to the timing of the frontal passage and associated precipitation. These conditions align closely with the market’s concentration of probability around 32–34 °C, reflecting traders’ incorporation of the latest short-range model runs and observed cooling trend.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$7,395Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models and agencies such as Météo-France shows a shift to cooler, moister Atlantic air over northern France by August 15, with increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected to cap daytime heating. This follows several days of 36–39 °C readings earlier in the week under high pressure. Current ensemble guidance clusters Paris maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C, with limited upside risk above 34 °C due to the timing of the frontal passage and associated precipitation. These conditions align closely with the market’s concentration of probability around 32–34 °C, reflecting traders’ incorporation of the latest short-range model runs and observed cooling trend.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,395Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models and agencies such as Météo-France shows a shift to cooler, moister Atlantic air over northern France by August 15, with increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected to cap daytime heating. This follows several days of 36–39 °C readings earlier in the week under high pressure. Current ensemble guidance clusters Paris maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C, with limited upside risk above 34 °C due to the timing of the frontal passage and associated precipitation. These conditions align closely with the market’s concentration of probability around 32–34 °C, reflecting traders’ incorporation of the latest short-range model runs and observed cooling trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes