Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and TimeandDate consensus point to a Shenzhen maximum near 32–34°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected to moderate peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity above 75% and afternoon convective activity further constrain extremes, aligning with the market's tight clustering where 32°C leads at overwhelming implied probability. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context but underscore the role of short-term variability in this coastal setting. Small shifts in storm timing, cloud cover, or local sea breezes can differentiate outcomes across the narrow 31–34°C range, as model runs continue to refine details ahead of the daily peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 15 de agosto?
32°C 98.9%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$70,983 Vol.
$70,983 Vol.
15 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 98.9%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$70,983 Vol.
$70,983 Vol.
15 ago 2026
27°C or below
$836 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,543 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,543 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,473 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,718 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,280 Vol.
99%
33°C
$9,361 Vol.
1%
34°C
$5,768 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$6,375 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$11,064 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and TimeandDate consensus point to a Shenzhen maximum near 32–34°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected to moderate peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity above 75% and afternoon convective activity further constrain extremes, aligning with the market's tight clustering where 32°C leads at overwhelming implied probability. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context but underscore the role of short-term variability in this coastal setting. Small shifts in storm timing, cloud cover, or local sea breezes can differentiate outcomes across the narrow 31–34°C range, as model runs continue to refine details ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$70,983Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and TimeandDate consensus point to a Shenzhen maximum near 32–34°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected to moderate peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity above 75% and afternoon convective activity further constrain extremes, aligning with the market's tight clustering where 32°C leads at overwhelming implied probability. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context but underscore the role of short-term variability in this coastal setting. Small shifts in storm timing, cloud cover, or local sea breezes can differentiate outcomes across the narrow 31–34°C range, as model runs continue to refine details ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$70,983Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and TimeandDate consensus point to a Shenzhen maximum near 32–34°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected to moderate peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity above 75% and afternoon convective activity further constrain extremes, aligning with the market's tight clustering where 32°C leads at overwhelming implied probability. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context but underscore the role of short-term variability in this coastal setting. Small shifts in storm timing, cloud cover, or local sea breezes can differentiate outcomes across the narrow 31–34°C range, as model runs continue to refine details ahead of the daily peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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