Recent atmospheric cooling following a mid-August heatwave has positioned trader consensus around 17–18°C as the most likely overnight minimum in Paris on August 17. Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate moderating temperatures after peaks near 38°C earlier in the week, with increased cloud cover and lighter winds expected to limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects typical of central Paris may keep readings slightly above rural analogs, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any Atlantic front introduces uncertainty between 16°C and 19°C thresholds. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 17 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 17 de agosto?
18°C 40%
17°C 32%
19°C 17%
16°C o menos 9%
NUEVO
$10,666 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,666 Vol.
17 ago 2026
16°C o menos
9%
17°C
32%
18°C
40%
19°C
17%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
18°C 40%
17°C 32%
19°C 17%
16°C o menos 9%
NUEVO
$10,666 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,666 Vol.
17 ago 2026
16°C o menos
$224 Vol.
9%
17°C
$1,753 Vol.
32%
18°C
$525 Vol.
40%
19°C
$516 Vol.
17%
20°C
$190 Vol.
7%
21°C
$178 Vol.
1%
22°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,925 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$646 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric cooling following a mid-August heatwave has positioned trader consensus around 17–18°C as the most likely overnight minimum in Paris on August 17. Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate moderating temperatures after peaks near 38°C earlier in the week, with increased cloud cover and lighter winds expected to limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects typical of central Paris may keep readings slightly above rural analogs, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any Atlantic front introduces uncertainty between 16°C and 19°C thresholds. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$10,666Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric cooling following a mid-August heatwave has positioned trader consensus around 17–18°C as the most likely overnight minimum in Paris on August 17. Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate moderating temperatures after peaks near 38°C earlier in the week, with increased cloud cover and lighter winds expected to limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects typical of central Paris may keep readings slightly above rural analogs, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any Atlantic front introduces uncertainty between 16°C and 19°C thresholds. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,666Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric cooling following a mid-August heatwave has positioned trader consensus around 17–18°C as the most likely overnight minimum in Paris on August 17. Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate moderating temperatures after peaks near 38°C earlier in the week, with increased cloud cover and lighter winds expected to limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects typical of central Paris may keep readings slightly above rural analogs, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any Atlantic front introduces uncertainty between 16°C and 19°C thresholds. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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