Recent JMA seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal summer temperatures across Japan due to a strengthened Pacific High, yet Tokyo's historical August minimum averages 23.6°C at the official observation site. For August 17 specifically, ensemble models currently favor overnight lows near 23–24°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover, potential convective showers, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling. High urban humidity often limits temperature drops, while any wind shift or clearer skies could tip the minimum by a degree. Official JMA forecasts and updated model runs issued in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 17 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 17 de agosto?
23°C 39%
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
34%
24°C
40%
25°C
28%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
23°C 39%
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
19°C o menos
$62 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
7%
21°C
$106 Vol.
3%
22°C
$143 Vol.
8%
23°C
$203 Vol.
34%
24°C
$172 Vol.
40%
25°C
$537 Vol.
28%
26°C
$121 Vol.
2%
27°C
$15 Vol.
6%
28°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
29°C o más
$72 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal summer temperatures across Japan due to a strengthened Pacific High, yet Tokyo's historical August minimum averages 23.6°C at the official observation site. For August 17 specifically, ensemble models currently favor overnight lows near 23–24°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover, potential convective showers, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling. High urban humidity often limits temperature drops, while any wind shift or clearer skies could tip the minimum by a degree. Official JMA forecasts and updated model runs issued in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$1,509Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal summer temperatures across Japan due to a strengthened Pacific High, yet Tokyo's historical August minimum averages 23.6°C at the official observation site. For August 17 specifically, ensemble models currently favor overnight lows near 23–24°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover, potential convective showers, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling. High urban humidity often limits temperature drops, while any wind shift or clearer skies could tip the minimum by a degree. Official JMA forecasts and updated model runs issued in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,509Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal summer temperatures across Japan due to a strengthened Pacific High, yet Tokyo's historical August minimum averages 23.6°C at the official observation site. For August 17 specifically, ensemble models currently favor overnight lows near 23–24°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover, potential convective showers, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling. High urban humidity often limits temperature drops, while any wind shift or clearer skies could tip the minimum by a degree. Official JMA forecasts and updated model runs issued in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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