**Cloud cover and scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature pinned near the mid-20s Celsius on August 16.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather shows mostly cloudy skies with light precipitation persisting overnight, which limits radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–32 °C. This setup holds the low close to the long-term seasonal normal of roughly 23.6 °C for mid-August, concentrating trader probability on 23 °C (55 %) and 22 °C (30 %). Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo further buffer against sharper drops, while the absence of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling keeps warmer outcomes (25 °C+) at low implied odds. Recent model runs and short-term analogs reinforce this narrow range, with only modest uncertainty remaining until final observational data are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 16 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 16 de agosto?
23°C 53%
22°C 25%
21°C 5%
24°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
30%
23°C
47%
24°C
9%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
23°C 53%
22°C 25%
21°C 5%
24°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
18°C o menos
$274 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$318 Vol.
1%
21°C
$481 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,233 Vol.
30%
23°C
$2,625 Vol.
47%
24°C
$2,135 Vol.
9%
25°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
28°C o más
$246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature pinned near the mid-20s Celsius on August 16.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather shows mostly cloudy skies with light precipitation persisting overnight, which limits radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–32 °C. This setup holds the low close to the long-term seasonal normal of roughly 23.6 °C for mid-August, concentrating trader probability on 23 °C (55 %) and 22 °C (30 %).
Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo further buffer against sharper drops, while the absence of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling keeps warmer outcomes (25 °C+) at low implied odds. Recent model runs and short-term analogs reinforce this narrow range, with only modest uncertainty remaining until final observational data are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$8,705Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature pinned near the mid-20s Celsius on August 16.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather shows mostly cloudy skies with light precipitation persisting overnight, which limits radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–32 °C. This setup holds the low close to the long-term seasonal normal of roughly 23.6 °C for mid-August, concentrating trader probability on 23 °C (55 %) and 22 °C (30 %).
Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo further buffer against sharper drops, while the absence of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling keeps warmer outcomes (25 °C+) at low implied odds. Recent model runs and short-term analogs reinforce this narrow range, with only modest uncertainty remaining until final observational data are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,705Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover and scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature pinned near the mid-20s Celsius on August 16.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather shows mostly cloudy skies with light precipitation persisting overnight, which limits radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–32 °C. This setup holds the low close to the long-term seasonal normal of roughly 23.6 °C for mid-August, concentrating trader probability on 23 °C (55 %) and 22 °C (30 %). Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo further buffer against sharper drops, while the absence of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling keeps warmer outcomes (25 °C+) at low implied odds. Recent model runs and short-term analogs reinforce this narrow range, with only modest uncertainty remaining until final observational data are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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