Recent meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a daily maximum temperature most likely between 35°C and 37°C on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, strong solar heating, and scattered thunderstorms that may partially moderate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32–33°C with occasional excursions above 35°C in the Pearl River Delta, aligning with current model consensus and positioning 36°C as the market leader at 45% implied probability. Updated guidance from agencies highlights potential for localized intensification if convective activity remains limited during peak daylight hours, while any widespread rain would favor lower outcomes around 35°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 16 de agosto?
36°C 45%
35°C 33%
37°C 12%
34°C 9%
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
33%
36°C
45%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C o más
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 33%
37°C 12%
34°C 9%
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
33%
36°C
45%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a daily maximum temperature most likely between 35°C and 37°C on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, strong solar heating, and scattered thunderstorms that may partially moderate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32–33°C with occasional excursions above 35°C in the Pearl River Delta, aligning with current model consensus and positioning 36°C as the market leader at 45% implied probability. Updated guidance from agencies highlights potential for localized intensification if convective activity remains limited during peak daylight hours, while any widespread rain would favor lower outcomes around 35°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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