Official short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and KNMI-aligned models show Amsterdam cooling from the August 14 heatwave peak above 32°C to a more typical summer maximum near 22°C on the 16th, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 22–24°C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime insolation, urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Traders are weighting consensus guidance while noting that minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the recorded high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 16 de agosto?
23°C 49%
22°C 30%
24°C 20%
21°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
30%
23°C
49%
24°C
20%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 30%
24°C 20%
21°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
19°C o menos
$509 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$764 Vol.
4%
22°C
$2,079 Vol.
30%
23°C
$680 Vol.
49%
24°C
$2,727 Vol.
20%
25°C
$781 Vol.
3%
26°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
29°C o más
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and KNMI-aligned models show Amsterdam cooling from the August 14 heatwave peak above 32°C to a more typical summer maximum near 22°C on the 16th, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 22–24°C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime insolation, urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Traders are weighting consensus guidance while noting that minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the recorded high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$6,455Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and KNMI-aligned models show Amsterdam cooling from the August 14 heatwave peak above 32°C to a more typical summer maximum near 22°C on the 16th, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 22–24°C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime insolation, urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Traders are weighting consensus guidance while noting that minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the recorded high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,455Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and KNMI-aligned models show Amsterdam cooling from the August 14 heatwave peak above 32°C to a more typical summer maximum near 22°C on the 16th, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 22–24°C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime insolation, urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Traders are weighting consensus guidance while noting that minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the recorded high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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