Recent numerical weather prediction runs from European centers show Warsaw maximum temperatures likely peaking near 29–31°C on August 16, driven by a mix of high pressure and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Key differentiating factors include timing of cloud breaks, which control surface insolation and boundary-layer warming, plus local wind speeds that enhance or suppress mixing with cooler air aloft. Soil moisture from prior days further modulates sensible heat flux. Traders assign near-equal weight to 29°C and 30°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain wide within the final 24-hour window, with next ECMWF and GFS updates expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 16 de agosto?
30°C 34%
29°C 32%
31°C 20%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
32%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 34%
29°C 32%
31°C 20%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$492 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$490 Vol.
1%
27°C
$555 Vol.
3%
28°C
$783 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,378 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,202 Vol.
34%
31°C
$1,947 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,854 Vol.
10%
33°C or higher
$597 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from European centers show Warsaw maximum temperatures likely peaking near 29–31°C on August 16, driven by a mix of high pressure and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Key differentiating factors include timing of cloud breaks, which control surface insolation and boundary-layer warming, plus local wind speeds that enhance or suppress mixing with cooler air aloft. Soil moisture from prior days further modulates sensible heat flux. Traders assign near-equal weight to 29°C and 30°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain wide within the final 24-hour window, with next ECMWF and GFS updates expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$9,931Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from European centers show Warsaw maximum temperatures likely peaking near 29–31°C on August 16, driven by a mix of high pressure and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Key differentiating factors include timing of cloud breaks, which control surface insolation and boundary-layer warming, plus local wind speeds that enhance or suppress mixing with cooler air aloft. Soil moisture from prior days further modulates sensible heat flux. Traders assign near-equal weight to 29°C and 30°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain wide within the final 24-hour window, with next ECMWF and GFS updates expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,931Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from European centers show Warsaw maximum temperatures likely peaking near 29–31°C on August 16, driven by a mix of high pressure and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Key differentiating factors include timing of cloud breaks, which control surface insolation and boundary-layer warming, plus local wind speeds that enhance or suppress mixing with cooler air aloft. Soil moisture from prior days further modulates sensible heat flux. Traders assign near-equal weight to 29°C and 30°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain wide within the final 24-hour window, with next ECMWF and GFS updates expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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