Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 15 project a daytime maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 35% implied probability. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city's subtropical highland climate—moderated by ~760 m elevation—typically produces August highs of 22–25°C, with limited diurnal warming when cloud cover or weak frontal systems suppress solar heating. Recent model runs and early-month observations, including a 27.9°C peak earlier in August followed by cooler readings, support tight clustering around the 22–25°C range. Official verification will draw from INMET surface stations, with traders incorporating ensemble spread and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or humidity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 15 de agosto?
22°C 23.8%
23°C 22%
24°C 22%
25°C 10%
$31,118 Vol.
$31,118 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
24%
23°C
19%
24°C
35%
25°C
17%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 23.8%
23°C 22%
24°C 22%
25°C 10%
$31,118 Vol.
$31,118 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
$9,249 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,318 Vol.
6%
22°C
$1,216 Vol.
24%
23°C
$5,775 Vol.
19%
24°C
$2,000 Vol.
35%
25°C
$2,701 Vol.
17%
26°C
$4,481 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2,189 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,168 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 15 project a daytime maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 35% implied probability. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city's subtropical highland climate—moderated by ~760 m elevation—typically produces August highs of 22–25°C, with limited diurnal warming when cloud cover or weak frontal systems suppress solar heating. Recent model runs and early-month observations, including a 27.9°C peak earlier in August followed by cooler readings, support tight clustering around the 22–25°C range. Official verification will draw from INMET surface stations, with traders incorporating ensemble spread and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or humidity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$31,118Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 15 project a daytime maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 35% implied probability. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city's subtropical highland climate—moderated by ~760 m elevation—typically produces August highs of 22–25°C, with limited diurnal warming when cloud cover or weak frontal systems suppress solar heating. Recent model runs and early-month observations, including a 27.9°C peak earlier in August followed by cooler readings, support tight clustering around the 22–25°C range. Official verification will draw from INMET surface stations, with traders incorporating ensemble spread and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or humidity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,118Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 15 project a daytime maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 35% implied probability. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city's subtropical highland climate—moderated by ~760 m elevation—typically produces August highs of 22–25°C, with limited diurnal warming when cloud cover or weak frontal systems suppress solar heating. Recent model runs and early-month observations, including a 27.9°C peak earlier in August followed by cooler readings, support tight clustering around the 22–25°C range. Official verification will draw from INMET surface stations, with traders incorporating ensemble spread and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or humidity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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