Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Typical August climatology features persistent high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar heating over the eastern Mediterranean, though sea breezes and moderate humidity often cap peaks around the long-term average of 31°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline with no significant heat advection or cloud cover expected, supporting the 71.5% implied probability for 33°C while leaving limited room for an outlier 34°C spike. Updated forecasts and local observations on the day will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 16 de agosto?
33°C 72%
32°C 25%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
25%
33°C
72%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
32°C 25%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
29°C or below
$915 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$988 Vol.
1%
31°C
$465 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,603 Vol.
25%
33°C
$2,380 Vol.
72%
34°C
$948 Vol.
6%
35°C
$531 Vol.
1%
36°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$502 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Typical August climatology features persistent high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar heating over the eastern Mediterranean, though sea breezes and moderate humidity often cap peaks around the long-term average of 31°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline with no significant heat advection or cloud cover expected, supporting the 71.5% implied probability for 33°C while leaving limited room for an outlier 34°C spike. Updated forecasts and local observations on the day will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$9,744Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Typical August climatology features persistent high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar heating over the eastern Mediterranean, though sea breezes and moderate humidity often cap peaks around the long-term average of 31°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline with no significant heat advection or cloud cover expected, supporting the 71.5% implied probability for 33°C while leaving limited room for an outlier 34°C spike. Updated forecasts and local observations on the day will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,744Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Typical August climatology features persistent high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar heating over the eastern Mediterranean, though sea breezes and moderate humidity often cap peaks around the long-term average of 31°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline with no significant heat advection or cloud cover expected, supporting the 71.5% implied probability for 33°C while leaving limited room for an outlier 34°C spike. Updated forecasts and local observations on the day will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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