Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 27°C on August 15 under light rain, high humidity (70-95%), and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban heat island effects and southwesterly flow maintain lows in the 26-28°C range amid the monsoon trough influence. Trader consensus has converged on the 26°C outcome at 100% implied probability due to stable short-range model agreement and limited forecast spread. Unusually clear skies or drier air advection could enhance overnight cooling and push readings lower, while localized measurement differences at official stations remain the main source of residual uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 15 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 15 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
$44,290 Vol.
$44,290 Vol.
15 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
$44,290 Vol.
$44,290 Vol.
15 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$723 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,016 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,983 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,681 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,338 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,929 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,367 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 27°C on August 15 under light rain, high humidity (70-95%), and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban heat island effects and southwesterly flow maintain lows in the 26-28°C range amid the monsoon trough influence. Trader consensus has converged on the 26°C outcome at 100% implied probability due to stable short-range model agreement and limited forecast spread. Unusually clear skies or drier air advection could enhance overnight cooling and push readings lower, while localized measurement differences at official stations remain the main source of residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$44,290Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 27°C on August 15 under light rain, high humidity (70-95%), and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban heat island effects and southwesterly flow maintain lows in the 26-28°C range amid the monsoon trough influence. Trader consensus has converged on the 26°C outcome at 100% implied probability due to stable short-range model agreement and limited forecast spread. Unusually clear skies or drier air advection could enhance overnight cooling and push readings lower, while localized measurement differences at official stations remain the main source of residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,290Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 27°C on August 15 under light rain, high humidity (70-95%), and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban heat island effects and southwesterly flow maintain lows in the 26-28°C range amid the monsoon trough influence. Trader consensus has converged on the 26°C outcome at 100% implied probability due to stable short-range model agreement and limited forecast spread. Unusually clear skies or drier air advection could enhance overnight cooling and push readings lower, while localized measurement differences at official stations remain the main source of residual uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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