Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 16 under typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight cooling. These align with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting normal to above-normal temperatures for the period. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential absent a stronger monsoon surge or clearer skies, positioning the 28°C outcome as the dominant market-implied probability while 27°C remains the main alternative if radiative cooling strengthens overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the daily minimum reading will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de agosto?
28°C 75%
27°C 33%
26°C 5%
25°C 2%
NUEVO
$18,506 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,506 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
26%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
28°C 75%
27°C 33%
26°C 5%
25°C 2%
NUEVO
$18,506 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,506 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$651 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$927 Vol.
1%
25°C
$955 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,616 Vol.
5%
27°C
$1,746 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5,446 Vol.
73%
29°C
$2,976 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$611 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$540 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 16 under typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight cooling. These align with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting normal to above-normal temperatures for the period. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential absent a stronger monsoon surge or clearer skies, positioning the 28°C outcome as the dominant market-implied probability while 27°C remains the main alternative if radiative cooling strengthens overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the daily minimum reading will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$18,506Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 16 under typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight cooling. These align with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting normal to above-normal temperatures for the period. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential absent a stronger monsoon surge or clearer skies, positioning the 28°C outcome as the dominant market-implied probability while 27°C remains the main alternative if radiative cooling strengthens overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the daily minimum reading will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,506Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 16 under typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight cooling. These align with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting normal to above-normal temperatures for the period. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential absent a stronger monsoon surge or clearer skies, positioning the 28°C outcome as the dominant market-implied probability while 27°C remains the main alternative if radiative cooling strengthens overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the daily minimum reading will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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