Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to sunny intervals with showers on August 16, supporting maximum temperatures of 28–33°C in urban areas. This aligns with August climatology of 31–32°C highs amid high humidity and frequent South China Sea trough activity that can enhance cloud cover and limit intense solar heating. Trader consensus around 32–33°C reflects model agreement on modest afternoon warming before showers develop, though slight differences in timing or extent of clearing skies could push peaks toward 34°C or hold them near 32°C. Short-term updates on wind patterns and convective activity remain the key variables ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 16 de agosto?
32°C 42%
33°C 40%
34°C 11%
31°C 6%
$22,667 Vol.
$22,667 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
42%
33°C
40%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 40%
34°C 11%
31°C 6%
$22,667 Vol.
$22,667 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
42%
33°C
40%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to sunny intervals with showers on August 16, supporting maximum temperatures of 28–33°C in urban areas. This aligns with August climatology of 31–32°C highs amid high humidity and frequent South China Sea trough activity that can enhance cloud cover and limit intense solar heating. Trader consensus around 32–33°C reflects model agreement on modest afternoon warming before showers develop, though slight differences in timing or extent of clearing skies could push peaks toward 34°C or hold them near 32°C. Short-term updates on wind patterns and convective activity remain the key variables ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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