Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a typical mid-August subtropical monsoon pattern, with model consensus from sources like Timeanddate, AccuWeather, and the Met Office pointing to a daily maximum of 32–34°C amid frequent thunderstorms and high humidity. Afternoon convective activity, driven by sea-breeze convergence over the South China Sea and residual monsoon moisture, tends to cap peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages near 32°C. No major tropical cyclone influences appear imminent to either suppress or intensify heating, keeping extremes below 35°C or above 31°C less probable. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official CMA guidance ahead of the 17th will refine these ranges, sustaining market focus on the narrow 32–34°C band as the most likely resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 17 de agosto?
33°C 38%
32°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
38%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
32°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
38%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a typical mid-August subtropical monsoon pattern, with model consensus from sources like Timeanddate, AccuWeather, and the Met Office pointing to a daily maximum of 32–34°C amid frequent thunderstorms and high humidity. Afternoon convective activity, driven by sea-breeze convergence over the South China Sea and residual monsoon moisture, tends to cap peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages near 32°C. No major tropical cyclone influences appear imminent to either suppress or intensify heating, keeping extremes below 35°C or above 31°C less probable. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official CMA guidance ahead of the 17th will refine these ranges, sustaining market focus on the narrow 32–34°C band as the most likely resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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