Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a high of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and expected thundershowers that limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current observations show light rain and overcast skies on August 16, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky episode to push temperatures higher. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where daily maxima average near 31°C amid frequent convective activity. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes under these stable patterns, with limited upside risk absent a rapid model shift in the next 12–24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de agosto?
31°C 46%
30°C 31%
32°C 16%
29°C 5%
NUEVO
$13,909 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,909 Vol.
17 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
31%
31°C
46%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 31%
32°C 16%
29°C 5%
NUEVO
$13,909 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,909 Vol.
17 ago 2026
25°C or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$288 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,213 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,324 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,556 Vol.
31%
31°C
$1,436 Vol.
46%
32°C
$1,765 Vol.
16%
33°C
$688 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,804 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a high of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and expected thundershowers that limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current observations show light rain and overcast skies on August 16, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky episode to push temperatures higher. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where daily maxima average near 31°C amid frequent convective activity. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes under these stable patterns, with limited upside risk absent a rapid model shift in the next 12–24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volumen
$13,909Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a high of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and expected thundershowers that limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current observations show light rain and overcast skies on August 16, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky episode to push temperatures higher. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where daily maxima average near 31°C amid frequent convective activity. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes under these stable patterns, with limited upside risk absent a rapid model shift in the next 12–24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,909Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a high of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and expected thundershowers that limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current observations show light rain and overcast skies on August 16, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky episode to push temperatures higher. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where daily maxima average near 31°C amid frequent convective activity. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes under these stable patterns, with limited upside risk absent a rapid model shift in the next 12–24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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