Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to widespread thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu on August 18, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. The humid Sichuan basin environment, combined with ongoing monsoon influences, favors scattered convection that limits insolation and caps highs, shifting trader focus toward the 23–25°C range as the most probable outcomes. Model consensus shows a cooling trend from recent hotter days, with August climatology typically featuring 29–30°C averages but frequently interrupted by rain events that lower peaks by several degrees. Updated guidance on steering patterns and moisture availability will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 18 de agosto?
24°C 40%
23°C 22%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
18%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
23°C 22%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
20°C or below
$190 Vol.
3%
21°C
$252 Vol.
1%
22°C
$262 Vol.
10%
23°C
$1,189 Vol.
22%
24°C
$3,209 Vol.
40%
25°C
$229 Vol.
18%
26°C
$302 Vol.
7%
27°C
$358 Vol.
4%
28°C
$214 Vol.
2%
29°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$774 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to widespread thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu on August 18, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. The humid Sichuan basin environment, combined with ongoing monsoon influences, favors scattered convection that limits insolation and caps highs, shifting trader focus toward the 23–25°C range as the most probable outcomes. Model consensus shows a cooling trend from recent hotter days, with August climatology typically featuring 29–30°C averages but frequently interrupted by rain events that lower peaks by several degrees. Updated guidance on steering patterns and moisture availability will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$7,302Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to widespread thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu on August 18, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. The humid Sichuan basin environment, combined with ongoing monsoon influences, favors scattered convection that limits insolation and caps highs, shifting trader focus toward the 23–25°C range as the most probable outcomes. Model consensus shows a cooling trend from recent hotter days, with August climatology typically featuring 29–30°C averages but frequently interrupted by rain events that lower peaks by several degrees. Updated guidance on steering patterns and moisture availability will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,302Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to widespread thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over Chengdu on August 18, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. The humid Sichuan basin environment, combined with ongoing monsoon influences, favors scattered convection that limits insolation and caps highs, shifting trader focus toward the 23–25°C range as the most probable outcomes. Model consensus shows a cooling trend from recent hotter days, with August climatology typically featuring 29–30°C averages but frequently interrupted by rain events that lower peaks by several degrees. Updated guidance on steering patterns and moisture availability will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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