Recent southwest monsoon activity, or habagat, combined with scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover over Metro Manila, is the main driver keeping the highest temperature on August 18 most likely in the 28–29°C range according to PAGASA outlooks projecting a 26–31°C daily spread. Persistent rainfall and elevated humidity typical of peak wet-season conditions suppress peak heating compared with drier periods, consistent with historical August baselines near 30°C. Forecast model consensus and recent updates showing 60% rain probability reinforce trader sentiment around these mid-range outcomes, while lower odds for 30°C+ reflect the cooling effect of ongoing convective activity ahead of any potential clearing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 18 de agosto?
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
20%
28°C
41%
29°C
27%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C o más
3%
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$30 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
1%
25°C
$32 Vol.
3%
26°C
$3 Vol.
8%
27°C
$22 Vol.
20%
28°C
$44 Vol.
41%
29°C
$46 Vol.
27%
30°C
$6 Vol.
9%
31°C
$25 Vol.
4%
32°C o más
$84 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon activity, or habagat, combined with scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover over Metro Manila, is the main driver keeping the highest temperature on August 18 most likely in the 28–29°C range according to PAGASA outlooks projecting a 26–31°C daily spread. Persistent rainfall and elevated humidity typical of peak wet-season conditions suppress peak heating compared with drier periods, consistent with historical August baselines near 30°C. Forecast model consensus and recent updates showing 60% rain probability reinforce trader sentiment around these mid-range outcomes, while lower odds for 30°C+ reflect the cooling effect of ongoing convective activity ahead of any potential clearing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$333Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon activity, or habagat, combined with scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover over Metro Manila, is the main driver keeping the highest temperature on August 18 most likely in the 28–29°C range according to PAGASA outlooks projecting a 26–31°C daily spread. Persistent rainfall and elevated humidity typical of peak wet-season conditions suppress peak heating compared with drier periods, consistent with historical August baselines near 30°C. Forecast model consensus and recent updates showing 60% rain probability reinforce trader sentiment around these mid-range outcomes, while lower odds for 30°C+ reflect the cooling effect of ongoing convective activity ahead of any potential clearing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$333Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent southwest monsoon activity, or habagat, combined with scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover over Metro Manila, is the main driver keeping the highest temperature on August 18 most likely in the 28–29°C range according to PAGASA outlooks projecting a 26–31°C daily spread. Persistent rainfall and elevated humidity typical of peak wet-season conditions suppress peak heating compared with drier periods, consistent with historical August baselines near 30°C. Forecast model consensus and recent updates showing 60% rain probability reinforce trader sentiment around these mid-range outcomes, while lower odds for 30°C+ reflect the cooling effect of ongoing convective activity ahead of any potential clearing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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