Recent short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a Tokyo high on August 18 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by a strengthened Pacific High maintaining above-normal summer conditions across Honshu with limited cloud cover and weak winds. Urban heat island effects in central Tokyo, combined with typical mid-August humidity levels near 75–80%, support these maxima while steering patterns reduce typhoon influence this week. Model consensus aligns with historical climatology for the date, where 31°C represents the most probable outcome amid minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing; updated JMA guidance or local observations in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 18 de agosto?
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
29°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
26%
31°C
37%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
29°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
$686 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9 Vol.
1%
28°C
$38 Vol.
4%
29°C
$83 Vol.
11%
30°C
$41 Vol.
26%
31°C
$113 Vol.
37%
32°C
$73 Vol.
19%
33°C
$24 Vol.
6%
34°C
$45 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$35 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a Tokyo high on August 18 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by a strengthened Pacific High maintaining above-normal summer conditions across Honshu with limited cloud cover and weak winds. Urban heat island effects in central Tokyo, combined with typical mid-August humidity levels near 75–80%, support these maxima while steering patterns reduce typhoon influence this week. Model consensus aligns with historical climatology for the date, where 31°C represents the most probable outcome amid minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing; updated JMA guidance or local observations in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,161Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a Tokyo high on August 18 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by a strengthened Pacific High maintaining above-normal summer conditions across Honshu with limited cloud cover and weak winds. Urban heat island effects in central Tokyo, combined with typical mid-August humidity levels near 75–80%, support these maxima while steering patterns reduce typhoon influence this week. Model consensus aligns with historical climatology for the date, where 31°C represents the most probable outcome amid minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing; updated JMA guidance or local observations in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,161Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a Tokyo high on August 18 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by a strengthened Pacific High maintaining above-normal summer conditions across Honshu with limited cloud cover and weak winds. Urban heat island effects in central Tokyo, combined with typical mid-August humidity levels near 75–80%, support these maxima while steering patterns reduce typhoon influence this week. Model consensus aligns with historical climatology for the date, where 31°C represents the most probable outcome amid minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing; updated JMA guidance or local observations in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes