Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo overnight lows on August 18 stabilizing near 23–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with minimal nocturnal cooling from high humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with August climatology of 24 °C average minima while recent model runs have narrowed the range, elevating implied probabilities for 24 °C (48 %) and 25 °C (35 %) as the most likely resolution thresholds. Warmer advection or clearer conditions could push the minimum to 25–26 °C, whereas any increased cloud cover or rainfall would favor 23 °C or lower, though probabilities remain below 13 % without supporting shifts in the latest guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 18 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 18 de agosto?
24°C 56%
25°C 47%
23°C 12%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
46%
25°C
38%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
1%
24°C 56%
25°C 47%
23°C 12%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
7%
23°C
$5 Vol.
12%
24°C
$21 Vol.
46%
25°C
$10 Vol.
38%
26°C
$5 Vol.
5%
27°C
$51 Vol.
1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C o más
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo overnight lows on August 18 stabilizing near 23–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with minimal nocturnal cooling from high humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with August climatology of 24 °C average minima while recent model runs have narrowed the range, elevating implied probabilities for 24 °C (48 %) and 25 °C (35 %) as the most likely resolution thresholds. Warmer advection or clearer conditions could push the minimum to 25–26 °C, whereas any increased cloud cover or rainfall would favor 23 °C or lower, though probabilities remain below 13 % without supporting shifts in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$132Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo overnight lows on August 18 stabilizing near 23–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with minimal nocturnal cooling from high humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with August climatology of 24 °C average minima while recent model runs have narrowed the range, elevating implied probabilities for 24 °C (48 %) and 25 °C (35 %) as the most likely resolution thresholds. Warmer advection or clearer conditions could push the minimum to 25–26 °C, whereas any increased cloud cover or rainfall would favor 23 °C or lower, though probabilities remain below 13 % without supporting shifts in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$132Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo overnight lows on August 18 stabilizing near 23–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with minimal nocturnal cooling from high humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with August climatology of 24 °C average minima while recent model runs have narrowed the range, elevating implied probabilities for 24 °C (48 %) and 25 °C (35 %) as the most likely resolution thresholds. Warmer advection or clearer conditions could push the minimum to 25–26 °C, whereas any increased cloud cover or rainfall would favor 23 °C or lower, though probabilities remain below 13 % without supporting shifts in the latest guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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