Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on August 13 under cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms. These conditions favor 36°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 35°C and 37°C. Subtropical summer patterns typically produce daily highs of 33–37°C, but convective activity from moisture and cloud cover can cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus aligns with historical August baselines near 34–36°C, with limited upside risk absent a clear anticyclone. Updated guidance on storm timing and intensity remains the key variable ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 13 de agosto?
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 21%
34°C 7%
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
21%
38°C
4%
39°C o más
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 21%
34°C 7%
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
21%
38°C
4%
39°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on August 13 under cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms. These conditions favor 36°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 35°C and 37°C. Subtropical summer patterns typically produce daily highs of 33–37°C, but convective activity from moisture and cloud cover can cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus aligns with historical August baselines near 34–36°C, with limited upside risk absent a clear anticyclone. Updated guidance on storm timing and intensity remains the key variable ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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