Recent forecasts from agencies like the National Weather Service equivalents and models point to a cool, overcast day with easterly flow and light showers or drizzle limiting solar heating, positioning 13–14 °C as the most probable maximum range for Buenos Aires on August 14. Wintertime radiative cooling under cloudy skies, combined with sea-surface temperatures around 12–13 °C in the Río de la Plata, suppresses afternoon warming and aligns with observed highs near 11–12 °C the prior days. August climatology shows an average daily high near 15 °C, but the current stable marine air mass and lack of northerly advection have shifted trader consensus toward the lower end of the typical distribution. Updated model runs through the evening of August 13 will refine the exact peak before market resolution.