Recent National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance point to a Chicago high temperature of 78–81°F on August 14, with trader sentiment reflecting tight clustering around these bins due to modest forecast spread. Southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to deliver above-normal moisture and dew points near 65°F, while variable cloud cover and timing of peak insolation will determine whether mixing allows the mercury to reach the low 80s or caps it in the upper 70s. Historical August normals near 83°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors slight suppression from increased humidity and limited diurnal range. Updated short-range runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final observed maximum at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 14 de agosto?
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 21%
76-77°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 21%
76-77°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
73°F or below
$29 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$125 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$146 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$812 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$123 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$81 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$209 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$103 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$80 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$12 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance point to a Chicago high temperature of 78–81°F on August 14, with trader sentiment reflecting tight clustering around these bins due to modest forecast spread. Southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to deliver above-normal moisture and dew points near 65°F, while variable cloud cover and timing of peak insolation will determine whether mixing allows the mercury to reach the low 80s or caps it in the upper 70s. Historical August normals near 83°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors slight suppression from increased humidity and limited diurnal range. Updated short-range runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final observed maximum at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,733Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance point to a Chicago high temperature of 78–81°F on August 14, with trader sentiment reflecting tight clustering around these bins due to modest forecast spread. Southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to deliver above-normal moisture and dew points near 65°F, while variable cloud cover and timing of peak insolation will determine whether mixing allows the mercury to reach the low 80s or caps it in the upper 70s. Historical August normals near 83°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors slight suppression from increased humidity and limited diurnal range. Updated short-range runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final observed maximum at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,733Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance point to a Chicago high temperature of 78–81°F on August 14, with trader sentiment reflecting tight clustering around these bins due to modest forecast spread. Southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to deliver above-normal moisture and dew points near 65°F, while variable cloud cover and timing of peak insolation will determine whether mixing allows the mercury to reach the low 80s or caps it in the upper 70s. Historical August normals near 83°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors slight suppression from increased humidity and limited diurnal range. Updated short-range runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final observed maximum at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes