Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office point to a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19 under moderate westerly flow, light showers, and typical mid-August Atlantic influences that limit daytime heating. These conditions align closely with historical averages of 21–22°C and explain the market's tight split between the 21°C (42%) and 22°C (33%) outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passages, or model ensemble spreads in surface pressure gradients could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders weigh official guidance against climatological baselines while monitoring the latest high-resolution model runs ahead of the 48-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 19 de agosto?
21°C 42%
22°C 32%
20°C 12%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
12%
21°C
42%
22°C
32%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C o más
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 32%
20°C 12%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
16°C o menos
$17 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$18 Vol.
1%
18°C
$30 Vol.
4%
19°C
$139 Vol.
10%
20°C
$13 Vol.
12%
21°C
$238 Vol.
42%
22°C
$83 Vol.
32%
23°C
$32 Vol.
9%
24°C
$30 Vol.
1%
25°C
$17 Vol.
1%
26°C o más
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office point to a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19 under moderate westerly flow, light showers, and typical mid-August Atlantic influences that limit daytime heating. These conditions align closely with historical averages of 21–22°C and explain the market's tight split between the 21°C (42%) and 22°C (33%) outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passages, or model ensemble spreads in surface pressure gradients could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders weigh official guidance against climatological baselines while monitoring the latest high-resolution model runs ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$581Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office point to a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19 under moderate westerly flow, light showers, and typical mid-August Atlantic influences that limit daytime heating. These conditions align closely with historical averages of 21–22°C and explain the market's tight split between the 21°C (42%) and 22°C (33%) outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passages, or model ensemble spreads in surface pressure gradients could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders weigh official guidance against climatological baselines while monitoring the latest high-resolution model runs ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$581Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office point to a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19 under moderate westerly flow, light showers, and typical mid-August Atlantic influences that limit daytime heating. These conditions align closely with historical averages of 21–22°C and explain the market's tight split between the 21°C (42%) and 22°C (33%) outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passages, or model ensemble spreads in surface pressure gradients could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders weigh official guidance against climatological baselines while monitoring the latest high-resolution model runs ahead of the 48-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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