Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Milan under weak high pressure with light westerly flow and partial cloud cover on August 17, producing a consensus maximum of 32–33 °C at official observing sites. This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, as ensemble spread narrows around 31–34 °C while drier boundary-layer profiles limit further warming. Recent 48-hour updates have trimmed earlier hotter solutions near 35 °C after increased mid-level moisture advection appeared in the 00Z and 12Z cycles. With the observation window closing in under 24 hours, traders are now focused on the final model guidance and any late-day convective inhibition that could cap the peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de agosto?
32°C 42%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
30°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
42%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
30°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
27°C or below
$1 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$46 Vol.
1%
29°C
$123 Vol.
1%
30°C
$340 Vol.
6%
31°C
$671 Vol.
22%
32°C
$251 Vol.
42%
33°C
$307 Vol.
24%
34°C
$279 Vol.
5%
35°C
$10 Vol.
2%
36°C
$63 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$394 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Milan under weak high pressure with light westerly flow and partial cloud cover on August 17, producing a consensus maximum of 32–33 °C at official observing sites. This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, as ensemble spread narrows around 31–34 °C while drier boundary-layer profiles limit further warming. Recent 48-hour updates have trimmed earlier hotter solutions near 35 °C after increased mid-level moisture advection appeared in the 00Z and 12Z cycles. With the observation window closing in under 24 hours, traders are now focused on the final model guidance and any late-day convective inhibition that could cap the peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volumen
$2,484Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Milan under weak high pressure with light westerly flow and partial cloud cover on August 17, producing a consensus maximum of 32–33 °C at official observing sites. This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, as ensemble spread narrows around 31–34 °C while drier boundary-layer profiles limit further warming. Recent 48-hour updates have trimmed earlier hotter solutions near 35 °C after increased mid-level moisture advection appeared in the 00Z and 12Z cycles. With the observation window closing in under 24 hours, traders are now focused on the final model guidance and any late-day convective inhibition that could cap the peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,484Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Milan under weak high pressure with light westerly flow and partial cloud cover on August 17, producing a consensus maximum of 32–33 °C at official observing sites. This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, as ensemble spread narrows around 31–34 °C while drier boundary-layer profiles limit further warming. Recent 48-hour updates have trimmed earlier hotter solutions near 35 °C after increased mid-level moisture advection appeared in the 00Z and 12Z cycles. With the observation window closing in under 24 hours, traders are now focused on the final model guidance and any late-day convective inhibition that could cap the peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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