Recent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, represent the primary driver keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 29°C (26.5%) and 30°C (27.5%). Official India Meteorological Department extended-range forecasts highlight reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling that typically suppress maximum temperatures below the August climatological average of 31–32°C. Numerical weather models show minor disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity for Lucknow on August 17, directly differentiating the narrow 1°C thresholds while leaving lower probabilities for 31°C or higher. Fresh IMD updates and regional model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these atmospheric variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 17 de agosto?
29°C 27%
30°C 27%
28°C 16%
31°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
30°C 27%
28°C 16%
31°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
24°C or below
$156 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$288 Vol.
1%
26°C
$256 Vol.
2%
27°C
$502 Vol.
7%
28°C
$186 Vol.
16%
29°C
$367 Vol.
27%
30°C
$54 Vol.
27%
31°C
$320 Vol.
16%
32°C
$240 Vol.
6%
33°C
$61 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, represent the primary driver keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 29°C (26.5%) and 30°C (27.5%). Official India Meteorological Department extended-range forecasts highlight reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling that typically suppress maximum temperatures below the August climatological average of 31–32°C. Numerical weather models show minor disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity for Lucknow on August 17, directly differentiating the narrow 1°C thresholds while leaving lower probabilities for 31°C or higher. Fresh IMD updates and regional model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these atmospheric variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volumen
$2,566Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, represent the primary driver keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 29°C (26.5%) and 30°C (27.5%). Official India Meteorological Department extended-range forecasts highlight reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling that typically suppress maximum temperatures below the August climatological average of 31–32°C. Numerical weather models show minor disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity for Lucknow on August 17, directly differentiating the narrow 1°C thresholds while leaving lower probabilities for 31°C or higher. Fresh IMD updates and regional model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these atmospheric variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,566Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, represent the primary driver keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 29°C (26.5%) and 30°C (27.5%). Official India Meteorological Department extended-range forecasts highlight reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling that typically suppress maximum temperatures below the August climatological average of 31–32°C. Numerical weather models show minor disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity for Lucknow on August 17, directly differentiating the narrow 1°C thresholds while leaving lower probabilities for 31°C or higher. Fresh IMD updates and regional model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these atmospheric variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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