Latest forecasts for Warsaw point to a cool, unsettled day on June 15 with westerly flow advecting maritime air and widespread cloud cover plus showers or drizzle expected to limit surface heating. Official guidance and model consensus, including runs showing highs near 16–18 °C, keep the market tightly clustered between 17 °C and 18 °C because even modest differences in shower timing, cloud thickness, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Historical June averages near 22 °C underscore how atypical this pattern is, while the short lead time means ensemble spread remains the dominant uncertainty traders are pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 15 de junio?
17°C 44%
18°C 39%
16°C 10%
19°C 7%
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
44%
18°C
39%
19°C
7%
20°C o más
3%
17°C 44%
18°C 39%
16°C 10%
19°C 7%
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
44%
18°C
39%
19°C
7%
20°C o más
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts for Warsaw point to a cool, unsettled day on June 15 with westerly flow advecting maritime air and widespread cloud cover plus showers or drizzle expected to limit surface heating. Official guidance and model consensus, including runs showing highs near 16–18 °C, keep the market tightly clustered between 17 °C and 18 °C because even modest differences in shower timing, cloud thickness, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Historical June averages near 22 °C underscore how atypical this pattern is, while the short lead time means ensemble spread remains the dominant uncertainty traders are pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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