Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 96.5%
27°C 5.0%
28°C <1%
25°C <1%
$39,576 Vol.
$39,576 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
97%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96.5%
27°C 5.0%
28°C <1%
25°C <1%
$39,576 Vol.
$39,576 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
$6,340 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,940 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,561 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,604 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,921 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,285 Vol.
97%
27°C
$2,386 Vol.
5%
28°C
$2,498 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,468 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,063 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$39,576Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39,576Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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