Latest short-range model consensus from the ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a maximum near 28–29 °C on June 15, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology places Istanbul’s average high at 25–27 °C, but a transient ridge and reduced marine influence from the Sea of Marmara are supporting modestly above-normal readings under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the 24-hour lead time, yet small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the official reading one degree either way. Final model runs and the Turkish meteorological service’s afternoon observation will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 22%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
28%
29°C
37%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 22%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
26°C or below
$161 Vol.
3%
27°C
$141 Vol.
8%
28°C
$74 Vol.
28%
29°C
$226 Vol.
37%
30°C
$527 Vol.
22%
31°C
$479 Vol.
7%
32°C
$908 Vol.
1%
33°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$730 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$334 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from the ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a maximum near 28–29 °C on June 15, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology places Istanbul’s average high at 25–27 °C, but a transient ridge and reduced marine influence from the Sea of Marmara are supporting modestly above-normal readings under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the 24-hour lead time, yet small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the official reading one degree either way. Final model runs and the Turkish meteorological service’s afternoon observation will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$4,280Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from the ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a maximum near 28–29 °C on June 15, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology places Istanbul’s average high at 25–27 °C, but a transient ridge and reduced marine influence from the Sea of Marmara are supporting modestly above-normal readings under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the 24-hour lead time, yet small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the official reading one degree either way. Final model runs and the Turkish meteorological service’s afternoon observation will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,280Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model consensus from the ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a maximum near 28–29 °C on June 15, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology places Istanbul’s average high at 25–27 °C, but a transient ridge and reduced marine influence from the Sea of Marmara are supporting modestly above-normal readings under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the 24-hour lead time, yet small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the official reading one degree either way. Final model runs and the Turkish meteorological service’s afternoon observation will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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