**Forecast models indicate Istanbul's June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius amid a transitional synoptic pattern.** Ensemble guidance from major centers shows a moderating maritime influence from the Black Sea combined with partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, keeping daytime highs near the June climatological average of 25–27°C rather than allowing stronger warming. This produces tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes, with the market's narrow spread reflecting modest model disagreement on exact timing of any northerly flow or diurnal heating rates. Historical analogs for mid-June under similar regimes confirm limited day-to-day variability once the pattern sets in, though small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could still nudge the observed high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 34%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
34%
27°C
20%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$396 Vol.
2%
24°C
$14 Vol.
9%
25°C
$62 Vol.
24%
26°C
$88 Vol.
34%
27°C
$151 Vol.
20%
28°C
$16 Vol.
4%
29°C
$27 Vol.
4%
30°C
$130 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$431 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Istanbul's June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius amid a transitional synoptic pattern.** Ensemble guidance from major centers shows a moderating maritime influence from the Black Sea combined with partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, keeping daytime highs near the June climatological average of 25–27°C rather than allowing stronger warming. This produces tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes, with the market's narrow spread reflecting modest model disagreement on exact timing of any northerly flow or diurnal heating rates. Historical analogs for mid-June under similar regimes confirm limited day-to-day variability once the pattern sets in, though small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could still nudge the observed high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$1,703Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Istanbul's June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius amid a transitional synoptic pattern.** Ensemble guidance from major centers shows a moderating maritime influence from the Black Sea combined with partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, keeping daytime highs near the June climatological average of 25–27°C rather than allowing stronger warming. This produces tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes, with the market's narrow spread reflecting modest model disagreement on exact timing of any northerly flow or diurnal heating rates. Historical analogs for mid-June under similar regimes confirm limited day-to-day variability once the pattern sets in, though small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could still nudge the observed high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,703Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate Istanbul's June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius amid a transitional synoptic pattern.** Ensemble guidance from major centers shows a moderating maritime influence from the Black Sea combined with partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, keeping daytime highs near the June climatological average of 25–27°C rather than allowing stronger warming. This produces tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes, with the market's narrow spread reflecting modest model disagreement on exact timing of any northerly flow or diurnal heating rates. Historical analogs for mid-June under similar regimes confirm limited day-to-day variability once the pattern sets in, though small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could still nudge the observed high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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