Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that promote steady radiative cooling without significant deviations. This aligns with climatological June lows typically ranging 11–16°C and explains the near-certain 99.7% market-implied probability for the 13°C bin. Traders price in the final pre-resolution model consensus and station-specific measurements at Paris-Montsouris. Only rapid shifts in cloud cover, unforecasted advection, or post-midnight temperature revisions at official sites could realistically move the outcome into adjacent bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de junio?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C o menos
$657 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,070 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,608 Vol.
100%
14°C
$789 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that promote steady radiative cooling without significant deviations. This aligns with climatological June lows typically ranging 11–16°C and explains the near-certain 99.7% market-implied probability for the 13°C bin. Traders price in the final pre-resolution model consensus and station-specific measurements at Paris-Montsouris. Only rapid shifts in cloud cover, unforecasted advection, or post-midnight temperature revisions at official sites could realistically move the outcome into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$12,364Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that promote steady radiative cooling without significant deviations. This aligns with climatological June lows typically ranging 11–16°C and explains the near-certain 99.7% market-implied probability for the 13°C bin. Traders price in the final pre-resolution model consensus and station-specific measurements at Paris-Montsouris. Only rapid shifts in cloud cover, unforecasted advection, or post-midnight temperature revisions at official sites could realistically move the outcome into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,364Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that promote steady radiative cooling without significant deviations. This aligns with climatological June lows typically ranging 11–16°C and explains the near-certain 99.7% market-implied probability for the 13°C bin. Traders price in the final pre-resolution model consensus and station-specific measurements at Paris-Montsouris. Only rapid shifts in cloud cover, unforecasted advection, or post-midnight temperature revisions at official sites could realistically move the outcome into adjacent bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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