**Recent KMA observations and model consensus point to a daytime peak of 29°C in Busan on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on that outcome.** Coastal warming under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical early-summer insolation have driven temperatures upward from overnight lows near 19–20°C, with real-time station readings approaching the threshold. Historical June climatology for Busan shows average highs around 24–26°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with recent regional patterns. The 0.1% odds on adjacent buckets reflect minimal expected variance once the daily maximum is recorded by official standards. A stronger-than-forecast sea breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover could cap readings at 28°C or below, while any model revision confirming sustained clear conditions would further entrench the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,442 Vol.
$43,442 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,442 Vol.
$43,442 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent KMA observations and model consensus point to a daytime peak of 29°C in Busan on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on that outcome.** Coastal warming under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical early-summer insolation have driven temperatures upward from overnight lows near 19–20°C, with real-time station readings approaching the threshold. Historical June climatology for Busan shows average highs around 24–26°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with recent regional patterns. The 0.1% odds on adjacent buckets reflect minimal expected variance once the daily maximum is recorded by official standards. A stronger-than-forecast sea breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover could cap readings at 28°C or below, while any model revision confirming sustained clear conditions would further entrench the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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