Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a high of 27–29°C in Paris on June 15, driven by persistent high pressure yielding mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and modest daytime heating following the warmer 30–31°C peak on June 14. This places 28°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with limited model spread suggesting low odds of reaching 30°C or dropping below 27°C. Historical June averages near 23–24°C provide baseline context, but current synoptic patterns support the elevated range implied by the 73.5% combined probability on 28–29°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data point that could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 15%
30°C 7.1%
NUEVO
$19,741 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,741 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 15%
30°C 7.1%
NUEVO
$19,741 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,741 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$502 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,971 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,060 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,500 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,134 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,984 Vol.
15%
28°C
$1,344 Vol.
44%
29°C
$1,679 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1,724 Vol.
7%
31°C
$1,791 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$402 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a high of 27–29°C in Paris on June 15, driven by persistent high pressure yielding mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and modest daytime heating following the warmer 30–31°C peak on June 14. This places 28°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with limited model spread suggesting low odds of reaching 30°C or dropping below 27°C. Historical June averages near 23–24°C provide baseline context, but current synoptic patterns support the elevated range implied by the 73.5% combined probability on 28–29°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data point that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$19,741Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a high of 27–29°C in Paris on June 15, driven by persistent high pressure yielding mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and modest daytime heating following the warmer 30–31°C peak on June 14. This places 28°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with limited model spread suggesting low odds of reaching 30°C or dropping below 27°C. Historical June averages near 23–24°C provide baseline context, but current synoptic patterns support the elevated range implied by the 73.5% combined probability on 28–29°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data point that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,741Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a high of 27–29°C in Paris on June 15, driven by persistent high pressure yielding mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and modest daytime heating following the warmer 30–31°C peak on June 14. This places 28°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with limited model spread suggesting low odds of reaching 30°C or dropping below 27°C. Historical June averages near 23–24°C provide baseline context, but current synoptic patterns support the elevated range implied by the 73.5% combined probability on 28–29°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data point that could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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