Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the main factors capping Los Angeles daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms for July 7, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–77 °F. Sea-surface temperatures along the coast remain near or slightly above average, while upper-level ridging associated with the developing El Niño provides only modest warming aloft. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect uncertainty in the exact depth and timing of marine-layer clearing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Latest NWS briefings and 00Z/12Z runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 7?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 7?
74-75°F 31%
76-77°F 29%
72-73°F 28%
78-79°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
3%
74-75°F 31%
76-77°F 29%
72-73°F 28%
78-79°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
65°F or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$15 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$43 Vol.
28%
74-75°F
$44 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$34 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
10%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
4%
84°F or higher
$35 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the main factors capping Los Angeles daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms for July 7, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–77 °F. Sea-surface temperatures along the coast remain near or slightly above average, while upper-level ridging associated with the developing El Niño provides only modest warming aloft. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect uncertainty in the exact depth and timing of marine-layer clearing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Latest NWS briefings and 00Z/12Z runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$170Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the main factors capping Los Angeles daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms for July 7, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–77 °F. Sea-surface temperatures along the coast remain near or slightly above average, while upper-level ridging associated with the developing El Niño provides only modest warming aloft. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect uncertainty in the exact depth and timing of marine-layer clearing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Latest NWS briefings and 00Z/12Z runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$170Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the main factors capping Los Angeles daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms for July 7, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–77 °F. Sea-surface temperatures along the coast remain near or slightly above average, while upper-level ridging associated with the developing El Niño provides only modest warming aloft. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect uncertainty in the exact depth and timing of marine-layer clearing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Latest NWS briefings and 00Z/12Z runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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