Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping July 12 maximum temperatures in Lucknow clustered near 33–35 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow range. Official IMD observations on 9 July recorded 33 °C—nearly 2 °C below normal—alongside heavy rainfall and high humidity that limited daytime heating. Numerical models show modest spread because steering winds and convective timing can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C on any given day; traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the central outcomes while still pricing a non-negligible chance of 36 °C or higher if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the current below-normal regime persists or relaxes slightly before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 12 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 12 de julio?
34°C 30%
33°C 24%
35°C 24%
36°C o más 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
11%
33°C
24%
34°C
30%
35°C
24%
36°C o más
14%
34°C 30%
33°C 24%
35°C 24%
36°C o más 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
26°C o menos
$72 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$137 Vol.
1%
28°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$94 Vol.
4%
30°C
$72 Vol.
2%
31°C
$72 Vol.
6%
32°C
$15 Vol.
11%
33°C
$105 Vol.
24%
34°C
$67 Vol.
30%
35°C
$57 Vol.
24%
36°C o más
$25 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping July 12 maximum temperatures in Lucknow clustered near 33–35 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow range. Official IMD observations on 9 July recorded 33 °C—nearly 2 °C below normal—alongside heavy rainfall and high humidity that limited daytime heating. Numerical models show modest spread because steering winds and convective timing can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C on any given day; traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the central outcomes while still pricing a non-negligible chance of 36 °C or higher if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the current below-normal regime persists or relaxes slightly before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$851Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping July 12 maximum temperatures in Lucknow clustered near 33–35 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow range. Official IMD observations on 9 July recorded 33 °C—nearly 2 °C below normal—alongside heavy rainfall and high humidity that limited daytime heating. Numerical models show modest spread because steering winds and convective timing can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C on any given day; traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the central outcomes while still pricing a non-negligible chance of 36 °C or higher if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the current below-normal regime persists or relaxes slightly before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$851Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping July 12 maximum temperatures in Lucknow clustered near 33–35 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow range. Official IMD observations on 9 July recorded 33 °C—nearly 2 °C below normal—alongside heavy rainfall and high humidity that limited daytime heating. Numerical models show modest spread because steering winds and convective timing can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C on any given day; traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the central outcomes while still pricing a non-negligible chance of 36 °C or higher if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the current below-normal regime persists or relaxes slightly before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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