Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 12 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 12 de julio?
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 23%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
23%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
11%
33°C
8%
34°C o más
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 23%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
24°C o menos
$909 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$27 Vol.
2%
27°C
$32 Vol.
2%
28°C
$170 Vol.
6%
29°C
$338 Vol.
23%
30°C
$253 Vol.
30%
31°C
$227 Vol.
24%
32°C
$41 Vol.
11%
33°C
$31 Vol.
8%
34°C o más
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$2,262Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,262Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes