**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 10 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 10 de julio?
36°C 64%
35°C 22%
37°C 15%
38°C 2.5%
NUEVO
$36,276 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,276 Vol.
10 jul 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
22%
36°C
64%
37°C
15%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C o más
<1%
36°C 64%
35°C 22%
37°C 15%
38°C 2.5%
NUEVO
$36,276 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,276 Vol.
10 jul 2026
32°C or below
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,204 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,857 Vol.
2%
35°C
$5,229 Vol.
22%
36°C
$10,851 Vol.
64%
37°C
$4,683 Vol.
15%
38°C
$2,667 Vol.
3%
39°C
$1,511 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$1,882 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$1,330 Vol.
<1%
42°C o más
$1,570 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$36,276Fecha de finalización
10 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36,276Fecha de finalización
10 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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