Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 11 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 11 de julio?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jul 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
11%
88°F or higher
4%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jul 2026
69°F or below
$575 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$185 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$168 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$114 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$227 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$364 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$293 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$53 Vol.
24%
86-87°F
$268 Vol.
11%
88°F or higher
$279 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$2,778Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,778Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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