PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 14 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 14 de julio?
33°C 43%
34°C 33%
32°C 25%
31°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$11,135 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,135 Vol.
14 jul 2026
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
25%
33°C
43%
34°C
33%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 33%
32°C 25%
31°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$11,135 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,135 Vol.
14 jul 2026
29°C o menos
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$753 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,634 Vol.
6%
32°C
$2,418 Vol.
25%
33°C
$1,333 Vol.
43%
34°C
$828 Vol.
33%
35°C
$1,333 Vol.
2%
36°C
$392 Vol.
1%
37°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
39°C o más
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$11,135Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,135Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes