Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.