Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 14 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 14 de julio?
25°C 40%
26°C 37%
24°C 20%
27°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$11,950 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,950 Vol.
14 jul 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
20%
25°C
40%
26°C
37%
27°C
5%
28°C o más
1%
25°C 40%
26°C 37%
24°C 20%
27°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$11,950 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,950 Vol.
14 jul 2026
18°C o menos
$295 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,511 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,082 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,637 Vol.
3%
24°C
$568 Vol.
20%
25°C
$1,345 Vol.
40%
26°C
$1,657 Vol.
37%
27°C
$1,582 Vol.
5%
28°C o más
$128 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$11,950Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,950Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak near 25°C on July 14 in Mexico City, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and reduced afternoon convection within the ongoing rainy season. The city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240 m) and urban heat island typically add 1–2°C to regional readings when solar heating peaks under limited cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 22–24°C, so the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects modest above-average warmth implied by current guidance, while small probabilities for 24°C or lower capture the risk of earlier showers or thicker cloud decks suppressing the high. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes