Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 29 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 29 de julio?
26°C 100.0%
17°C o menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,277 Vol.
$41,277 Vol.
29 jul 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C o más
<1%
26°C 100.0%
17°C o menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,277 Vol.
$41,277 Vol.
29 jul 2026
17°C o menos
$295 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,193 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$756 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,023 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$12,943 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,050 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,918 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,838 Vol.
100%
27°C o más
$3,412 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volumen
$41,277Fecha de finalización
29 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41,277Fecha de finalización
29 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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