Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 24 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 24 de julio?
21°C 36%
22°C 32%
23°C 25%
20°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 jul 2026
19°C or below
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
21%
22°C
32%
23°C
25%
24°C
12%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 32%
23°C 25%
20°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 jul 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$5 Vol.
11%
21°C
$8 Vol.
21%
22°C
$10 Vol.
32%
23°C
$11 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$5 Vol.
5%
26°C
$11 Vol.
5%
27°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$178 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$390Fecha de finalización
24 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$390Fecha de finalización
24 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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