Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate a highest temperature near 23°C for Paris on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 24°C. Late-summer cooling trends, with average August highs around 23–25°C, combined with expected cloud cover, showers, and moderate Atlantic airflow, are suppressing peak readings and limiting upside risk. Recent model runs show consensus on these conditions, with minimal divergence, while historical late-August baselines and the absence of heatwave setups further support the trader consensus around 22–24°C. Updated forecasts ahead of the 24-hour window could refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 21 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 21 de agosto?
23°C 54%
24°C 29%
22°C 13%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
54%
24°C
29%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 29%
22°C 13%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
20°C or below
$347 Vol.
2%
21°C
$476 Vol.
4%
22°C
$556 Vol.
13%
23°C
$2,749 Vol.
54%
24°C
$739 Vol.
29%
25°C
$373 Vol.
5%
26°C
$498 Vol.
2%
27°C
$291 Vol.
1%
28°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$511 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate a highest temperature near 23°C for Paris on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 24°C. Late-summer cooling trends, with average August highs around 23–25°C, combined with expected cloud cover, showers, and moderate Atlantic airflow, are suppressing peak readings and limiting upside risk. Recent model runs show consensus on these conditions, with minimal divergence, while historical late-August baselines and the absence of heatwave setups further support the trader consensus around 22–24°C. Updated forecasts ahead of the 24-hour window could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$7,350Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate a highest temperature near 23°C for Paris on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 24°C. Late-summer cooling trends, with average August highs around 23–25°C, combined with expected cloud cover, showers, and moderate Atlantic airflow, are suppressing peak readings and limiting upside risk. Recent model runs show consensus on these conditions, with minimal divergence, while historical late-August baselines and the absence of heatwave setups further support the trader consensus around 22–24°C. Updated forecasts ahead of the 24-hour window could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,350Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF currently indicate a highest temperature near 23°C for Paris on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 24°C. Late-summer cooling trends, with average August highs around 23–25°C, combined with expected cloud cover, showers, and moderate Atlantic airflow, are suppressing peak readings and limiting upside risk. Recent model runs show consensus on these conditions, with minimal divergence, while historical late-August baselines and the absence of heatwave setups further support the trader consensus around 22–24°C. Updated forecasts ahead of the 24-hour window could refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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