Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 most likely between 13–16°C, consistent with the market's heaviest trading around 14–15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points near 11–13°C support this range, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.2°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any deviations tied to small variations in cloud cover or wind timing that could shift the exact low by 1°C. Traders appear to be pricing in these near-term meteorological conditions and the narrow uncertainty band typical for a 24-hour forecast horizon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 21 de agosto?
15°C 40%
14°C 28%
13°C 17%
12°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
11°C o menos
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
40%
16°C
8%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
15°C 40%
14°C 28%
13°C 17%
12°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
11°C o menos
$84 Vol.
2%
12°C
$19 Vol.
9%
13°C
$310 Vol.
17%
14°C
$1,901 Vol.
28%
15°C
$294 Vol.
40%
16°C
$37 Vol.
8%
17°C
$52 Vol.
4%
18°C
$738 Vol.
1%
19°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
21°C o más
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 most likely between 13–16°C, consistent with the market's heaviest trading around 14–15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points near 11–13°C support this range, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.2°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any deviations tied to small variations in cloud cover or wind timing that could shift the exact low by 1°C. Traders appear to be pricing in these near-term meteorological conditions and the narrow uncertainty band typical for a 24-hour forecast horizon.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$3,764Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 most likely between 13–16°C, consistent with the market's heaviest trading around 14–15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points near 11–13°C support this range, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.2°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any deviations tied to small variations in cloud cover or wind timing that could shift the exact low by 1°C. Traders appear to be pricing in these near-term meteorological conditions and the narrow uncertainty band typical for a 24-hour forecast horizon.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,764Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 most likely between 13–16°C, consistent with the market's heaviest trading around 14–15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points near 11–13°C support this range, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.2°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any deviations tied to small variations in cloud cover or wind timing that could shift the exact low by 1°C. Traders appear to be pricing in these near-term meteorological conditions and the narrow uncertainty band typical for a 24-hour forecast horizon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes