Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 19°C for Amsterdam on August 22 under northwesterly flow and possible thundery showers, aligning with the market’s strong 50% weighting on that outcome and 27% on 20°C. Late-August climatology shows declining highs around 21–22°C as solar insolation decreases and cooler maritime air dominates, with ensemble models confirming limited warming potential absent a high-pressure ridge. These conditions position 18–20°C as the central range while capping upside risk above 21°C at under 6% combined, reflecting traders’ aggregation of near-term model consensus and typical seasonal variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 22 de agosto?
19°C 51%
20°C 26%
18°C 18%
21°C 6%
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
18%
19°C
51%
20°C
26%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
19°C 51%
20°C 26%
18°C 18%
21°C 6%
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
18%
19°C
51%
20°C
26%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 19°C for Amsterdam on August 22 under northwesterly flow and possible thundery showers, aligning with the market’s strong 50% weighting on that outcome and 27% on 20°C. Late-August climatology shows declining highs around 21–22°C as solar insolation decreases and cooler maritime air dominates, with ensemble models confirming limited warming potential absent a high-pressure ridge. These conditions position 18–20°C as the central range while capping upside risk above 21°C at under 6% combined, reflecting traders’ aggregation of near-term model consensus and typical seasonal variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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