Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place Mexico City’s overnight low near 12–14°C for August 22 amid the rainy season, aligning with trader emphasis on the tightly matched 14°C and 15°C outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, radiational cooling is moderated by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit nighttime heat loss while urban heat-island effects and recent rainfall add slight warmth. These conditions differentiate the narrow band around 14–15°C from cooler historical averages near 11–13°C or warmer scenarios above 16°C, with model consensus and typical August variability keeping probabilities balanced ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 22 de agosto?
14°C 35%
15°C 31%
16°C o más 28%
12°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
24%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
35%
15°C
31%
16°C o más
28%
14°C 35%
15°C 31%
16°C o más 28%
12°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
6°C o menos
$20 Vol.
1%
7°C
$25 Vol.
1%
8°C
$22 Vol.
1%
9°C
$25 Vol.
2%
10°C
$25 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C o más
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place Mexico City’s overnight low near 12–14°C for August 22 amid the rainy season, aligning with trader emphasis on the tightly matched 14°C and 15°C outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, radiational cooling is moderated by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit nighttime heat loss while urban heat-island effects and recent rainfall add slight warmth. These conditions differentiate the narrow band around 14–15°C from cooler historical averages near 11–13°C or warmer scenarios above 16°C, with model consensus and typical August variability keeping probabilities balanced ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volumen
$117Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place Mexico City’s overnight low near 12–14°C for August 22 amid the rainy season, aligning with trader emphasis on the tightly matched 14°C and 15°C outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, radiational cooling is moderated by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit nighttime heat loss while urban heat-island effects and recent rainfall add slight warmth. These conditions differentiate the narrow band around 14–15°C from cooler historical averages near 11–13°C or warmer scenarios above 16°C, with model consensus and typical August variability keeping probabilities balanced ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$117Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place Mexico City’s overnight low near 12–14°C for August 22 amid the rainy season, aligning with trader emphasis on the tightly matched 14°C and 15°C outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, radiational cooling is moderated by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit nighttime heat loss while urban heat-island effects and recent rainfall add slight warmth. These conditions differentiate the narrow band around 14–15°C from cooler historical averages near 11–13°C or warmer scenarios above 16°C, with model consensus and typical August variability keeping probabilities balanced ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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