Latest forecast guidance from meteorological models points to a Mexico City nighttime low near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which has concentrated trader consensus on those central outcomes. High-elevation radiative cooling, modulated by variable cloud cover that reduces heat loss, and light easterly winds are key differentiators among the tightly bunched 12–15°C probabilities. Recent tropical wave activity has increased humidity and convective potential, limiting overnight drops compared to clearer climatological baselines around 13°C. Updated model runs and official station observations will refine resolution as the night progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 21 de agosto?
15°C 32%
13°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 28%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
18%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
30%
15°C
32%
16°C
28%
17°C
26%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 32%
13°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 28%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
18%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
30%
15°C
32%
16°C
28%
17°C
26%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from meteorological models points to a Mexico City nighttime low near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which has concentrated trader consensus on those central outcomes. High-elevation radiative cooling, modulated by variable cloud cover that reduces heat loss, and light easterly winds are key differentiators among the tightly bunched 12–15°C probabilities. Recent tropical wave activity has increased humidity and convective potential, limiting overnight drops compared to clearer climatological baselines around 13°C. Updated model runs and official station observations will refine resolution as the night progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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